The Athens-based Foundation for Economic & Industrial Research (IOBE) on Wednesday released the most ambitious forecast for Greek economic growth so far, saying annual GDP this year will grow by 8 to 8.5 percent.
The Greek government has listed a forecast of 6.1 percent in GDP growth in 2022, in a recently tabled draft budget for the coming year.
Nevertheless, the research group is more guarded in its forecast for 2022, predicting economic growth at 4 percent.
At the same time, the quarterly IOBE report includes a gloomier scenario, warning that if the public health crisis worsens or if obstacles for the economy’s normal financing arise, then growth will be limited to a lackluster post-pandemic figure of 2.5 percent.
According to IOBE, continued high growth rates exceeding 3 percent per annum over a decade can be achieved only with an increase in productivity and the further attraction of productive factors, a development that necessitates substantive reforms in markets and the public sector – a catchphrase associated with the Greek economy for the past few decades.
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