The market’s eyes are now on the Ministry of Finance for the activation of the official sale process of the state participation in the country’s four largest banking groups.
In the next few hours, reportedly by tomorrow, the Financial Stability Fund (HFSF) will publish the study on its divestment strategy from the banks, which has already received the green light from the government.
Banking sources state that it will describe the general framework for the sale of the Fund’s shares.
“It will not include timelines or liquidation rates per bank. These will be determined by the disposal consultant, whose choice will be made, as stipulated by law, by the Ministry of Finance” they say.
As sources say, “the only thing certain is that in order for a sale to proceed, an international tender must precede it”.
Besides, according to the same sources, the relevant process cannot start earlier than the announcement of the results for the year 2022, which is expected in February.
From there, the initiative of the movements belongs to the government, which is asked to decide whether the project will start before the upcoming parliamentary elections.
The 2 obstacles
In this direction, according to banking circles, there are two obstacles to accelerating sales.
Firstly, the political costs that always lurk in privatizations and secondly the current conditions in the markets, which do not favor the financing of acquisitions of this scale, due to the high and increasing cost of borrowing.
It is recalled that to date, official interest in the acquisition of shares of Greek banks has been shown by the Saudi Arabian state fund, which sees National Bank as a gateway for its entry into the European banking market, and the Italian investment scheme ION Investments, which in a letter to the HFSF at the end of 2022 offered 452 million euros for 27% of Piraeus Bank.
This is without a doubt a clear indication of the return of the domestic financial system to the radar of the international investment community.
However, as banking circles say, “a deal cannot exist without a competitive process.” It remains to be seen if the two interested parties will return when the relevant tenders are announced.
On the other hand, in Alpha Bank, where the percentage of the State is 9%, mobility was recorded a few weeks ago. Dutch firm Reggeborgh increased its participation in the bank and now controls 6.50% of its share capital, being the largest private shareholder.
Market sources consider it possible that the fund will move to further strengthen its investment in the systemic group.
Finally, the disposal of 1.3% of Eurobank by the HFSF, for which according to information, there is already an interested party, is considered an easy task.
Industry outlook
According to analysts who monitor the domestic industry, the four systemic groups now have a strong investment history, capable of attracting new shareholders.
This is because the results from their last transformation cycle are now completely visible.
In addition to the reduction of delay indicators to single-digit levels and close to the European average, they have highlighted a new operating model with significant benefits for their organic profitability.
In particular, through the restructuring actions that have been implemented, the four systemic groups have withdrawn from secondary and non-banking activities, digitally transformed, emphasized revenue generation from commissions and started the gradual reformation of their branches, which are reduced in number, but upgraded for better customer service and the promotion of products with high profit margins.
In this context, despite the macroeconomic challenges in the current environment of uncertainty, the way is now open to distribute a dividend.
Latest News
Bank of Greece Governor Says EU will Retaliate to Trump’s Tarrifs
The Bank of Greece Governor defended the independence of central banks amid criticism from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, who had publicly commented on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powel
September in Greece Winning Tourists Over from US, Germany
Tourists continue to visit Greece off-season into Sept. with the number of inbound travelers up by 6.6% and a 7.9% rise in travel receipts.
Bitcoin Surges Toward $100K Amid Pro-Crypto Optimism in US
According to Reuters, the cryptocurrency surged to an all-time high, briefly exceeding $96,898 during Asian trading hours.
Greek Driver Violations at a Touch of a Button
Traffic offences recorded in the last five years by Greece’s “Driver Behavior Control System” are now available on Gov.gr Wallet
Milan Tops List of Most Expensive Streets, Athens’ Ermou Holds Steady at 15th Place
In Athens, following Ermou Street is the southern suburb of Glyfada and Tsimiski Street in Thessaloniki.
New Gov.gr Service Enables Secure Reporting of Minor-Related Delinquency
It should also be noted that via the recently introduced initiative ‘Safe Youth’ application citizens have access to specially tailored informative material regarding the safety of children and adolescents
Thousands Strike in Athens Over Soaring Living Costs and Stagnant Wages
Inflation, particularly in food prices, has been crushing Greek households
Greece Overhauls Property Valuation System
Greece plans to launch a revamped property value registry in 2025 and overhaul the way objective values are calculated to enhance tax revenue and improve transparency.
Greece’s New Tax Bill Foresees Tax Relief Beyond Big Business
Tax relief measures in Greece are proposed for freelancers, property owners and farmers, along with 'big business'
Unions Call Nationwide Industrial Strike for Wed.
Mass transits are usually affected, especially in the greater Athens-Piraeus area, although bus and metro services are curtailed but not fully halted