![The “psychological threshold” in upcoming Greek elections](https://www.ot.gr/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/8-kalpi.jpg)
This is perhaps the most ambiguous electoral contest of the last decade: the facts of the election battle of May 21 have already changed many times, with the tragedy in Tempi largely shaping a new agenda, while the attitude of PASOK and the “neither Tsipras nor Mitsotakis” slogan makes the elections a political game for three.
The only thing that has not changed are the boundaries within which the three largest parties aspire to move.
Mainly the turning point, the percentage – “psychological threshold” that facilitates their narratives and allows them to say that they are close to the goal they have set, whether the first ballot box brings forth a government or a repeat election is needed.
New Democracy
For governing New Democracy party, the most important thing is that the percentage of the first Sunday shows that there is a serious possibility that the party will gain self-reliance in the second round, with the system of enhanced proportionality – after all, Kyriakos Mitsotakis himself has recently been constantly emphasizing that the result on May 21 it will be seen who will be the next prime minister, but also what kind of government will emerge.
The need becomes more urgent, given the “red line” of PASOK – KINAL for the person of the prime minister – especially since for many new Democracy cadres PASOK is the only parliamentary party that could potentially become a government coalition partner.
Estimates so far put the “psychological” limit for New Democracy at 34%, so that it can mindlessly hand over the mandate betting on the upcoming self-reliance.
SYRIZA
Based on the numbers quoted by pollsters so far, the same limit for SYRIZA is 30%. Given that pollsters have consistently found SYRIZA lower than it is actually measured at the ballot box and considering its percentage in 2019, the number “3” in front of the double digit is particularly important. It keeps a (relatively) short distance from the first party and maintains a safe distance from the third party.
Allowing on the one hand dreams of overturning the image in the second ballot and on the other hand keeping the data “clean” in the progressive space, with Alexis Tsipras requesting an order for the formation of a progressive government of cooperation from the first Sunday.
At the same time, 30% gives SYRIZA a percentage close to the percentage it received in 2019, a fact that even in the event of defeat keeps SYRIZA within the framework of bipartisanship and Alexis Tsipras himself in a state of internal party acquiesence.
PASOK – KINAL
For PASOK – KINAL, the strong double-digit percentage is, according to Nikos Androulakis, of utmost importance. With this, the party will enter coalition discussions on the basis of programmatic convergences and persons of “common acceptance”, without taking the popular will as an order to stay in the opposition.
The interpretation of the “strong double digit” obviously depends on the percentages of New Democracy and SYRIZA, but the “psychological” limit of 12% not only allows PASOK to sit at the cooperation table without being considered a “supplement” of the first party , but at the same time it almost ensures that, even if these discussions are ultimately not successful, the double digits will remain in the second ballot as well. And this regardless of the polarization that will exist between the two first parties.
![ot.gr](/wp-content/themes/whsk_otgr/common/imgs/fav.ico/favicon-32x32.png)
![ot.gr](/wp-content/themes/whsk_otgr/common/imgs/fav.ico/favicon-32x32.png)
Latest News
![Gov’t Eyes Return of Power Subsidies Amid Spike in Rates](https://www.ot.gr/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/power-lines-2048x1365-1-600x400.jpg)
Gov’t Eyes Return of Power Subsidies Amid Spike in Rates
According to reports, the government will resume an electricity subsidization program, given that forecasts cite disruptions – i.e. higher rates
![ELSTAT: 6.3% Increase in Output Price Index for Agriculture and Livestock](https://www.ot.gr/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/ot_georg_PROIONTA_money-1-600x352.png)
ELSTAT: 6.3% Increase in Output Price Index for Agriculture and Livestock
The 6.3% rise in May 2024 is largely driven by an 8.8% increase in the crop output group, particularly due to changes in olive oil prices, and a 0.5% increase in the animal output group.
![Balkans Blackout Highlights Climate Threats to Power Grids](https://www.ot.gr/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/blackout-1-600x457.png)
Balkans Blackout Highlights Climate Threats to Power Grids
The surge in electricity demand during the heat wave and the power deficit in Balkan markets have driven up prices in the Greek wholesale electricity market.
![Greece in Top 4 Destinations Favored by European Tourists](https://www.ot.gr/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/ploio-600x400.jpg)
Greece in Top 4 Destinations Favored by European Tourists
Greece was selected by 5.9% of respondents who were asked where they would vacation this year, up from 5.4% in the same survey last year
![Scope Affirms Greece’s BBB- Ratings; Revises Outlook to Positive](https://www.ot.gr/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/euros-2048x1365-1-600x400.jpg)
Scope Affirms Greece’s BBB- Ratings; Revises Outlook to Positive
The international ratings firm raised Greece to investment grade in early August 2023
![First Seaplane Test Flights to Skopelos, Alonissos, Skyros](https://www.ot.gr/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/hellenic-seaplanes-pilotikes-ptiseis-ydatino-pedio-lavriou-600x450.jpeg)
First Seaplane Test Flights to Skopelos, Alonissos, Skyros
After decades of on-again, off-again efforts to schedule regular seaplane routes to Greece's numerous island and coastal destinations the prospect now appears within sight
![ELSTAT- Overall Import Price Index for May 2024 up 2.8% y-o-y](https://www.ot.gr/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/unnamed-41.jpg)
ELSTAT- Overall Import Price Index for May 2024 up 2.8% y-o-y
The same price index had decreased 20.8% from May 2022 to May 2023
![Over 7 in 10 Employees Feel Their Contributions Are Not Appreciated](https://www.ot.gr/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/ergasia-ergazomenos-600x300.jpg)
Over 7 in 10 Employees Feel Their Contributions Are Not Appreciated
Specifically, the option "Subjective opinions are prioritized over objective data" ranked highest in importance for young employees, with a score of 3.89 out of 4
![OECD: Job Vacancies on the Rise in Greece](https://www.ot.gr/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/ergasiabusinness-768x556-1-1-600x434.jpeg)
OECD: Job Vacancies on the Rise in Greece
By the fourth quarter of 2023, job vacancies per unemployed person had risen by more than 4, with the index reaching 446 units compared to 100 units in late 2019
![OTE Group: FTTH Program Advancing in Semi-Urban and Rural Areas of Greece](https://www.ot.gr/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/ΟΤΕ-Group_1-600x450.jpg)
OTE Group: FTTH Program Advancing in Semi-Urban and Rural Areas of Greece
This initiative will provide ultra-fast internet speeds of up to 1Gbps to over 350,000 households and businesses in semi-urban and rural areas across the country